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Red375
3274118.4
422146.4
141129.5
Blue216
614157.6
316152.7
3373124.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300332200400500600375216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#10
146.40.5
144.7145.2
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
blue by 11.2
614
#7
157.60.3
157.3157.6
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
Second
141
#19
129.50.8
127.0127.8
Auto13.8
Teleop104.2
End13.1
blue by 23.2
316
#4
152.70.7
151.9152.7
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
Third
3274
#22
118.40.6
116.5117.1
Auto10.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
blue by 6.6
3373
#28
124.90.0
124.9124.9
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2