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Red354
2534145.9
141129.5
1418165.4
Blue212
3373124.9
1137102.8
122132.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246100200400500354212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.43.6
141.5145.0
Auto20.8
Teleop120.3
End28.4
red by 33.0
122
#23
132.45.8
120.4126.2
Auto15.1
Teleop106.7
End11.4
Second
2534
#11
145.91.9
129.5131.3
Auto17.7
Teleop114.7
End17.4
red by 21.0
3373
#28
124.94.7
112.9117.6
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2
Third
141
#19
129.51.1
114.4113.3
Auto13.8
Teleop104.2
End13.1
red by 26.7
1137
#38
102.82.4
113.6111.2
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed