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Red125
619116.8
116121.4
68697.0
Blue392
4472165.6
623148.3
5338161.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253375100200300500600125392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#33
121.42.0
119.1121.1
Auto13.4
Teleop91.7
End17.2
blue by 44.2
165.64.5
138.8143.3
Auto23.7
Teleop118.0
End23.3
Second
619
#31
116.83.6
118.4121.9
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End16.5
blue by 44.2
161.04.5
136.7141.2
Auto18.9
Teleop113.7
End32.5
Third
686
#35
97.01.0
111.3112.3
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.1
blue by 51.3
623
#12
148.33.0
128.6131.6
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed