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Red255
4514100.2
689399.9
3274118.4
Blue72
654390.6
171996.3
1137102.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2762155010015025030035040045025572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3274
#22
118.40.3
115.0115.3
Auto10.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
red by 15.6
1137
#38
102.80.7
109.0108.2
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
Second
4514
#34
100.22.1
105.3103.2
Auto10.8
Teleop82.3
End7.6
red by 3.9
1719
#37
96.31.7
113.3111.6
Auto12.6
Teleop77.8
End5.5
Third
6893
#25
99.92.2
96.698.8
Auto12.9
Teleop82.7
End4.0
red by 9.3
6543
#36
90.60.1
97.297.3
Auto12.7
Teleop73.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed