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Red282
611126.3
5549121.7
620127.8
Blue239
68697.0
612125.9
3941132.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275267200220240300320340360282239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#13
127.81.0
128.7127.7
Auto14.5
Teleop99.0
End12.7
blue by 4.9
132.70.6
130.2129.6
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End14.8
Second
611
#17
126.32.0
119.9117.8
Auto20.1
Teleop93.4
End18.3
red by 0.4
612
#15
125.92.3
113.6115.9
Auto19.0
Teleop95.7
End9.6
Third
5549
#18
121.70.5
105.3105.8
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
red by 24.7
686
#35
97.04.1
108.5104.4
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed