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Red381
5830105.2
1731169.2
5546151.8
Blue129
5549121.7
4514100.2
141129.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102690100200400500600381129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.212.0
114.8126.8
Auto19.6
Teleop132.7
End15.2
red by 39.7
141
#19
129.55.2
114.2119.4
Auto13.8
Teleop104.2
End13.1
Second
151.89.0
101.7110.6
Auto20.9
Teleop109.5
End26.1
red by 30.1
5549
#18
121.716.7
67.884.6
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
Third
5830
#30
105.217.1
64.881.9
Auto12.2
Teleop88.3
End5.7
red by 5.0
4514
#34
100.29.6
91.5101.1
Auto10.8
Teleop82.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed