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Red106
316152.7
68697.0
1137102.8
Blue361
122132.4
422146.4
1895132.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305273100200400500106361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
152.79.9
109.2119.0
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
red by 6.3
422
#10
146.411.1
96.5107.6
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
Second
1137
#38
102.89.1
100.2109.3
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
blue by 29.9
1895
#20
132.66.2
101.7107.9
Auto13.0
Teleop103.1
End19.0
Third
686
#35
97.015.2
81.997.1
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.1
blue by 35.4
122
#23
132.48.3
98.4106.7
Auto15.1
Teleop106.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed