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Red231
3941132.7
422146.4
2186120.9
Blue245
5549121.7
2363157.8
2534145.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299300240260280320340231245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#10
146.48.2
116.8125.0
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
blue by 11.4
157.810.7
116.1126.8
Auto20.7
Teleop122.0
End17.0
Second
3941
#8DQ
132.78.3
111.0119.3
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End14.8
blue by 13.2
2534
#11
145.911.1
108.0119.1
Auto17.7
Teleop114.7
End17.4
Third
2186
#26DQ
120.99.2
99.4108.7
Auto12.6
Teleop94.7
End13.6
blue by 0.8
5549
#18
121.77.5
92.9100.4
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed