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Red290
141129.5
620127.8
623148.3
Blue153
6584117.0
116121.4
4514100.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2962800100200400500600290153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#12
148.36.0
114.3120.3
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
red by 26.9
116
#33
121.410.6
102.3112.9
Auto13.4
Teleop91.7
End17.2
Second
141
#19
129.53.7
120.0116.3
Auto13.8
Teleop104.2
End13.1
red by 12.5
6584
#32
117.08.7
104.0112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End10.8
Third
620
#13
127.88.5
107.5116.0
Auto14.5
Teleop99.0
End12.7
red by 27.6
4514
#34
100.21.3
104.7106.0
Auto10.8
Teleop82.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed