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Red200
5546151.8
5841113.4
171996.3
Blue383
614157.6
3373124.9
611126.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302279100200400500200383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.88.2
110.6118.8
Auto20.9
Teleop109.5
End26.1
blue by 5.8
614
#7
157.68.3
108.8117.0
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
Second
5841
#21
113.411.3
99.3110.6
Auto14.3
Teleop87.5
End16.2
blue by 12.9
611
#17
126.37.9
103.5111.4
Auto20.1
Teleop93.4
End18.3
Third
1719
#37
96.36.2
103.3109.5
Auto12.6
Teleop77.8
End5.5
blue by 28.6
3373
#28
124.96.3
99.9106.2
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed