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Red272
68697.0
1731169.2
689399.9
Blue174
654390.6
5830105.2
3274118.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2962620100200400500272174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.29.0
137.1146.1
Auto19.6
Teleop132.7
End15.2
red by 50.8
3274
#22
118.45.8
104.3110.1
Auto10.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Second
6893
#25
99.92.3
91.994.1
Auto12.9
Teleop82.7
End4.0
blue by 5.3
5830
#30
105.210.7
95.4106.1
Auto12.2
Teleop88.3
End5.7
Third
686
#35
97.05.0
103.1108.1
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.1
red by 6.4
6543
#36
90.62.8
96.299.0
Auto12.7
Teleop73.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed