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Red71
1137102.8
620127.8
206894.6
Blue310
422146.4
888137.6
619116.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242313010020040050060071310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#13
127.85.7
122.3128.0
Auto14.5
Teleop99.0
End12.7
blue by 18.6
422
#10
146.42.7
128.7131.4
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
Second
1137
#38
102.81.0
112.6113.6
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
blue by 34.8
888
#14
137.62.5
117.1119.6
Auto13.6
Teleop99.2
End27.7
Third
2068
#29
94.62.0
99.097.0
Auto13.1
Teleop76.4
End12.2
blue by 22.1
619
#31
116.84.4
114.0118.4
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed