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Red172
611126.3
612125.9
2988115.2
Blue422
5546151.8
614157.6
2363157.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263342100200300400500172422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#17
126.37.8
111.4119.2
Auto20.1
Teleop93.4
End18.3
blue by 31.5
157.84.9
134.2139.0
Auto20.7
Teleop122.0
End17.0
Second
612
#15
125.93.3
110.4113.6
Auto19.0
Teleop95.7
End9.6
blue by 31.6
614
#7
157.66.0
125.0131.0
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
Third
2988
#16
115.22.6
108.9111.5
Auto14.1
Teleop95.5
End6.6
blue by 36.6
151.81.7
126.4128.1
Auto20.9
Teleop109.5
End26.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed