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Red142
6584117.0
6504120.1
689399.9
Blue395
1895132.6
3941132.7
4472165.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2213270100400500600700142395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6504
#27
120.111.6
70.782.3
Auto13.9
Teleop89.0
End17.3
blue by 45.5
165.610.5
103.6114.1
Auto23.7
Teleop118.0
End23.3
Second
6584
#32
117.013.9
90.1104.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End10.8
blue by 15.7
132.78.7
102.3111.0
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End14.8
Third
6893
#25
99.94.1
87.891.9
Auto12.9
Teleop82.7
End4.0
blue by 32.8
1895
#20
132.66.0
107.9113.9
Auto13.0
Teleop103.1
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed