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Red355
5549121.7
1731169.2
623148.3
Blue294
614157.6
1137102.8
1418165.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292308150200250350400450355294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.210.3
126.8137.1
Auto19.6
Teleop132.7
End15.2
red by 3.8
165.46.8
130.2137.0
Auto20.8
Teleop120.3
End28.4
Second
623
#12
148.35.9
108.4114.3
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
blue by 9.2
614
#7
157.612.4
96.3108.8
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
Third
5549
#18
121.78.3
84.692.9
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
red by 18.9
1137
#38
102.81.9
109.3111.3
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed