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Red175
5338161.0
619116.8
4514100.2
Blue367
3274118.4
422146.4
2363157.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833080100200400500600700800175367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.05.5
128.7134.2
Auto18.9
Teleop113.7
End32.5
red by 3.1
157.812.9
103.2116.1
Auto20.7
Teleop122.0
End17.0
Second
619
#31
116.814.7
86.4101.1
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End16.5
blue by 29.6
422
#10
146.49.2
107.6116.8
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
Third
4514
#34
100.23.6
101.1104.7
Auto10.8
Teleop82.3
End7.6
blue by 18.2
3274
#22
118.45.6
98.6104.3
Auto10.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed