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Red378
611126.3
5841113.4
316152.7
Blue52
206894.6
6334119.3
141129.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27627110015020025030035040045037852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
152.70.0
121.4121.4
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
red by 23.2
141
#19
129.50.6
119.4120.0
Auto13.8
Teleop104.2
End13.1
Second
611
#17
126.37.1
96.4103.5
Auto20.1
Teleop93.4
End18.3
red by 7.0
6334
#24
119.31.4
121.2122.6
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End12.5
Third
5841
#21
113.412.3
87.199.3
Auto14.3
Teleop87.5
End16.2
red by 18.8
2068
#29
94.64.6
95.499.9
Auto13.1
Teleop76.4
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed