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Red298
6504120.1
122132.4
5830105.2
Blue106
612125.9
116121.4
171996.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423020100200400500600298106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#23
132.42.8
114.0116.8
Auto15.1
Teleop106.7
End11.4
red by 6.5
612
#15
125.97.0
100.5107.6
Auto19.0
Teleop95.7
End9.6
Second
6504
#27
120.15.2
89.594.7
Auto13.9
Teleop89.0
End17.3
blue by 1.2
116
#33
121.45.0
112.9117.9
Auto13.4
Teleop91.7
End17.2
Third
5830
#30
105.213.5
81.995.4
Auto12.2
Teleop88.3
End5.7
red by 8.9
1719
#37
96.312.4
90.9103.3
Auto12.6
Teleop77.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed