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Red317
6334119.3
4514100.2
316152.7
Blue202
5546151.8
68697.0
5549121.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267280100200400500317202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
152.73.2
121.4124.5
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
red by 0.9
151.84.4
122.0126.4
Auto20.9
Teleop109.5
End26.1
Second
6334
#24
119.33.1
122.6119.5
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End12.5
blue by 2.3
5549
#18
121.73.2
100.4103.6
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
Third
4514
#34
100.21.2
106.0104.8
Auto10.8
Teleop82.3
End7.6
red by 3.2
686
#35
97.03.2
108.1111.3
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed