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Red340
5338161.0
614157.6
206894.6
Blue181
654390.6
2534145.9
6584117.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290277100200400500340181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.02.5
134.2136.7
Auto18.9
Teleop113.7
End32.5
red by 15.0
2534
#11
145.94.8
124.6129.5
Auto17.7
Teleop114.7
End17.4
Second
614
#7
157.65.4
131.0136.4
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
red by 40.6
6584
#32
117.04.6
116.5121.2
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End10.8
Third
2068
#29
94.64.2
97.092.8
Auto13.1
Teleop76.4
End12.2
red by 4.0
6543
#36
90.60.3
99.098.6
Auto12.7
Teleop73.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed