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Red284
623148.3
68697.0
122132.4
Blue322
614157.6
2534145.9
3941132.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249339100200300400500600284322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#12
148.32.8
136.4139.2
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
blue by 9.2
614
#7
157.65.1
142.9148.0
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
Second
122
#23
132.42.0
129.3131.3
Auto15.1
Teleop106.7
End11.4
blue by 13.6
2534
#11
145.93.8
133.2137.0
Auto17.7
Teleop114.7
End17.4
Third
686
#35
97.02.8
104.4101.6
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.1
blue by 35.7
132.70.4
129.6129.2
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed