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Red149
1137102.8
6584117.0
3274118.4
Blue355
316152.7
5549121.7
116121.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241300100200400500149355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3274
#22
118.40.3
115.3115.0
Auto10.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
blue by 34.3
316
#4
152.74.0
130.6134.5
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
Second
6584
#32
117.01.2
124.2123.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End10.8
blue by 4.7
5549
#18
121.73.0
105.8108.7
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
Third
1137
#38
102.82.3
108.2105.9
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
blue by 18.6
116
#33
121.41.0
118.0117.0
Auto13.4
Teleop91.7
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed