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Red153
1731169.2
171996.3
6334119.3
Blue341
620127.8
1418165.4
422146.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256334100200300400500153341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.23.2
164.2167.4
Auto19.6
Teleop132.7
End15.2
red by 3.8
165.41.8
152.1153.9
Auto20.8
Teleop120.3
End28.4
Second
6334
#24
119.31.7
122.8121.2
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End12.5
blue by 27.1
422
#10
146.42.7
136.3139.0
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
Third
1719
#37
96.33.6
108.5104.8
Auto12.6
Teleop77.8
End5.5
blue by 31.5
620
#13
127.82.5
129.7127.2
Auto14.5
Teleop99.0
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed