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Red216
612125.9
888137.6
6584117.0
Blue347
2363157.8
3941132.7
3373124.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288321150200250350400450216347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#14
137.60.5
135.0135.5
Auto13.6
Teleop99.2
End27.7
blue by 20.3
157.82.4
147.9150.3
Auto20.7
Teleop122.0
End17.0
Second
612
#15
125.93.3
119.5122.8
Auto19.0
Teleop95.7
End9.6
blue by 6.8
132.70.3
129.2129.5
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End14.8
Third
6584
#32
117.01.3
121.6120.3
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End10.8
blue by 8.0
3373
#28
124.90.4
124.2123.8
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed