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Red360
5830105.2
6334119.3
614157.6
Blue204
620127.8
4472165.6
6584117.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277327100200300400500360204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#7
157.60.3
156.0156.3
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
blue by 8.1
165.62.7
160.2162.9
Auto23.7
Teleop118.0
End23.3
Second
6334
#24
119.30.9
117.7118.5
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End12.5
blue by 8.5
620
#13
127.80.8
127.2127.9
Auto14.5
Teleop99.0
End12.7
Third
5830
#30
105.20.3
104.9105.2
Auto12.2
Teleop88.3
End5.7
blue by 11.8
6584
#32
117.01.7
118.7117.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed