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Red224
5549121.7
1895132.6
1137102.8
Blue297
2534145.9
5841113.4
206894.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682900100200400500600700224297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#20
132.60.4
132.2132.6
Auto13.0
Teleop103.1
End19.0
blue by 13.3
2534
#11
145.90.1
145.2145.3
Auto17.7
Teleop114.7
End17.4
Second
5549
#18
121.71.0
119.5120.5
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
red by 8.3
5841
#21
113.41.5
114.9113.4
Auto14.3
Teleop87.5
End16.2
Third
1137
#38
102.80.5
103.2102.8
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
red by 8.1
2068
#29
94.60.7
93.994.6
Auto13.1
Teleop76.4
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned