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Red437
2988115.2
619116.8
1418165.4
Blue261
6504120.1
4514100.2
611126.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512350100200300400500600437261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.43.5
159.8163.4
Auto20.8
Teleop120.3
End28.4
red by 39.0
611
#17
126.31.9
123.3125.1
Auto20.1
Teleop93.4
End18.3
Second
619
#31
116.80.5
116.2116.8
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End16.5
blue by 3.4
6504
#27
120.11.8
114.3116.1
Auto13.9
Teleop89.0
End17.3
Third
2988
#16
115.20.5
113.9114.4
Auto14.1
Teleop95.5
End6.6
red by 14.9
4514
#34
100.20.7
100.9100.2
Auto10.8
Teleop82.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed