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Red328
2363157.8
316152.7
689399.9
Blue238
3274118.4
623148.3
3373124.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422490100200300400500600328238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.83.2
153.1156.3
Auto20.7
Teleop122.0
End17.0
red by 9.5
623
#12
148.31.8
145.7147.5
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
Second
316
#4
152.73.0
146.4149.4
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
red by 27.7
3373
#28
124.90.0
124.7124.7
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2
Third
6893
#25
99.90.7
100.699.9
Auto12.9
Teleop82.7
End4.0
blue by 18.5
3274
#22
118.41.3
113.9115.2
Auto10.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed