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Quarterfinal 1-12018 CHS District Northern Virginia Event
Red418
1731169.2
5546151.8
5549121.7
Blue275
888137.6
620127.8
611126.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369290100200400500600418275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#2
169.20.1
169.5→169.3
Auto19.6
Teleop132.7
End15.2
red by 31.6
888
#14
137.60.6
136.3→136.9
Auto13.6
Teleop99.2
End27.7
Second
5546
#1
151.81.0
147.0→148.0
Auto20.9
Teleop109.5
End26.1
red by 24.0
620
#13
127.80.1
127.9→127.8
Auto14.5
Teleop99.0
End12.7
Third
5549
#18
121.70.2
120.5→120.7
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
blue by 4.6
611
#17
126.30.6
125.1→125.7
Auto20.1
Teleop93.4
End18.3