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Semifinal 1-12018 CHS District Northern Virginia Event
Red392
1731169.2
5546151.8
5549121.7
Blue278
612125.9
4472165.6
6504120.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355310100200400500600700392278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#2
169.20.0
169.2→169.2
Auto19.6
Teleop132.7
End15.2
red by 3.6
4472
#6
165.60.4
163.6→164.0
Auto23.7
Teleop118.0
End23.3
Second
5546
#1
151.81.0
149.0→150.0
Auto20.9
Teleop109.5
End26.1
red by 25.9
612
#15
125.90.1
125.3→125.4
Auto19.0
Teleop95.7
End9.6
Third
5549
#18
121.70.3
120.9→121.2
Auto17.8
Teleop96.0
End9.0
red by 1.5
6504
#27
120.10.6
117.3→117.9
Auto13.9
Teleop89.0
End17.3