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Red366
422158.3
122142.3
5724140.1
Blue217
6312108.8
1137114.2
5546172.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152590100200400500600700366217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#8
158.31.1
148.2149.3
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End12.8
blue by 14.5
172.82.4
154.1156.4
Auto20.7
Teleop126.1
End27.9
Second
122
#9
142.30.8
131.2130.4
Auto14.8
Teleop116.0
End11.8
red by 28.2
1137
#23
114.20.5
102.4102.8
Auto16.4
Teleop89.0
End10.8
Third
140.18.9
86.094.9
Auto17.2
Teleop105.5
End18.8
red by 31.3
6312
#26
108.810.8
77.788.5
Auto14.3
Teleop91.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed