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Red235
1080118.0
6194124.7
5957114.8
Blue216
6021102.0
595498.8
6334155.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280279150200250300350400450235216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.710.1
97.0107.1
Auto17.9
Teleop90.7
End17.5
blue by 30.5
155.11.3
140.7142.0
Auto23.4
Teleop108.5
End26.9
Second
1080
#22
118.06.1
103.4109.5
Auto17.7
Teleop90.4
End10.4
red by 16.0
6021
#34
102.01.3
98.199.4
Auto15.2
Teleop78.3
End8.8
Third
5957
#20
114.80.3
107.4107.6
Auto14.9
Teleop88.0
End14.5
red by 16.0
5954
#37
98.80.5
102.5103.0
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed