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Red353
1522134.4
4638118.1
5950146.2
Blue212
3072147.9
2890127.2
299894.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142010100400500353212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5950
#24
146.20.9
139.8140.7
Auto18.4
Teleop101.3
End26.6
blue by 1.7
147.93.4
112.4115.9
Auto15.2
Teleop112.7
End24.6
Second
1522
#12
134.41.2
124.2125.4
Auto16.9
Teleop103.4
End14.9
red by 7.1
2890
#11
127.24.2
102.4106.7
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End22.8
Third
4638
#16
118.10.8
103.1103.9
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End15.4
red by 24.0
2998
#18
94.11.7
99.798.0
Auto14.6
Teleop78.8
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed