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Red153
122142.3
595498.8
733096.1
Blue402
6882149.6
422158.3
1446113.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283300100200300400500153402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#9
142.31.3
131.2132.5
Auto14.8
Teleop116.0
End11.8
blue by 15.9
422
#8
158.30.6
152.1152.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End12.8
Second
5954
#37
98.80.6
103.3102.7
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End10.4
blue by 50.9
6882
#15
149.60.0
148.1148.1
Auto16.8
Teleop113.1
End20.2
Third
7330
#36
96.11.0
91.592.5
Auto14.8
Teleop77.4
End6.2
blue by 17.0
1446
#21
113.11.4
104.6106.0
Auto16.6
Teleop86.2
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed