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Red229
6194124.7
61785.6
435113.1
Blue355
5957114.8
3359103.0
5804146.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432770100200400500600229355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.70.7
114.5115.2
Auto17.9
Teleop90.7
End17.5
blue by 21.7
5804
#14
146.30.2
142.2142.4
Auto17.5
Teleop107.9
End19.3
Second
435
#30
113.11.9
123.7121.8
Auto15.9
Teleop89.7
End9.5
blue by 1.7
5957
#20
114.80.2
108.1107.9
Auto14.9
Teleop88.0
End14.5
Third
617
#28
85.60.1
88.888.7
Auto13.3
Teleop71.3
End4.6
blue by 17.4
3359
#25
103.03.3
112.8109.5
Auto14.4
Teleop79.1
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed