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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183398010030050070436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3389
#29
125.47.7
117.0124.7
Auto13.4
Teleop95.3
End14.6
blue by 45.6
171.01.1
166.3167.5
Auto22.3
Teleop132.7
End16.4
Second
6189
#13
105.70.9
104.4103.5
Auto15.0
Teleop80.8
End9.4
blue by 64.3
170.02.3
153.9156.2
Auto19.6
Teleop130.6
End20.5
Third
4286
#35
89.50.4
94.794.3
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End2.5
blue by 33.5
3136
#10
123.01.5
108.1109.5
Auto13.9
Teleop89.9
End24.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed