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Red157
1446113.1
299894.1
5950146.2
Blue375
5724140.1
6312108.8
977126.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24728704006008001,000157375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5950
#24
146.21.3
140.7142.0
Auto18.4
Teleop101.3
End26.6
red by 6.1
140.13.1
117.1120.2
Auto17.2
Teleop105.5
End18.8
Second
1446
#21
113.11.7
106.0107.7
Auto16.6
Teleop86.2
End11.9
blue by 13.3
977
#17
126.44.3
108.8113.1
Auto16.2
Teleop98.5
End13.2
Third
2998
#18
94.11.2
98.096.8
Auto14.6
Teleop78.8
End-1.0
blue by 14.7
6312
#26
108.83.4
100.7104.0
Auto14.3
Teleop91.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed