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Red225
595498.8
5804146.3
1793117.7
Blue331
2890127.2
6189105.7
5546172.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723100100200400500600700225331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#14
146.30.9
142.4143.3
Auto17.5
Teleop107.9
End19.3
blue by 26.5
172.80.6
162.8163.4
Auto20.7
Teleop126.1
End27.9
Second
1793
#31
117.71.4
121.4120.0
Auto17.2
Teleop86.1
End17.5
blue by 9.5
2890
#11
127.23.0
106.7109.7
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End22.8
Third
5954
#37
98.80.4
102.7102.3
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End10.4
blue by 6.9
6189
#13
105.71.4
103.5102.1
Auto15.0
Teleop80.8
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed