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Red364
1080118.0
4638118.1
6882149.6
Blue131
3389125.4
3359103.0
1522134.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553040100200400500600700364131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6882
#15
149.60.6
148.1148.7
Auto16.8
Teleop113.1
End20.2
red by 15.2
1522
#12
134.41.5
125.4126.9
Auto16.9
Teleop103.4
End14.9
Second
4638
#16
118.11.2
103.9105.1
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End15.4
blue by 7.3
3389
#29
125.43.1
124.7127.7
Auto13.4
Teleop95.3
End14.6
Third
1080
#22
118.04.5
114.8110.3
Auto17.7
Teleop90.4
End10.4
red by 15.0
3359
#25
103.00.1
109.5109.4
Auto14.4
Teleop79.1
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed