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Red140
595498.8
3136123.0
6882149.6
Blue397
4638118.1
6334155.1
3072147.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250335100200300400500600140397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6882
#15
149.61.8
148.7150.5
Auto16.8
Teleop113.1
End20.2
blue by 5.5
155.10.1
142.9143.0
Auto23.4
Teleop108.5
End26.9
Second
3136
#10
123.02.1
112.7114.8
Auto13.9
Teleop89.9
End24.1
blue by 24.9
147.94.7
121.5126.2
Auto15.2
Teleop112.7
End24.6
Third
5954
#37
98.80.5
101.8101.4
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End10.4
blue by 19.3
4638
#16
118.11.9
107.2109.1
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned