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Red323
122142.3
6194124.7
5804146.3
Blue294
3389125.4
1610170.0
1793117.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318303200250350400450323294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#14
146.31.1
144.3145.4
Auto17.5
Teleop107.9
End19.3
blue by 23.7
170.01.8
161.4163.1
Auto19.6
Teleop130.6
End20.5
Second
122
#9
142.30.6
133.4134.0
Auto14.8
Teleop116.0
End11.8
red by 17.0
3389
#29
125.40.2
127.7127.9
Auto13.4
Teleop95.3
End14.6
Third
124.71.7
118.8120.5
Auto17.9
Teleop90.7
End17.5
red by 7.0
1793
#31
117.70.5
118.0117.5
Auto17.2
Teleop86.1
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed