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Red256
3389125.4
1137114.2
6021102.0
Blue281
435113.1
6334155.1
1446113.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233390100300400500600256281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3389
#29
125.40.5
125.9125.4
Auto13.4
Teleop95.3
End14.6
blue by 29.8
155.11.8
146.1147.9
Auto23.4
Teleop108.5
End26.9
Second
1137
#23
114.21.7
110.3112.0
Auto16.4
Teleop89.0
End10.8
red by 1.1
1446
#21
113.11.0
111.2112.1
Auto16.6
Teleop86.2
End11.9
Third
6021
#34
102.01.2
103.9102.8
Auto15.2
Teleop78.3
End8.8
blue by 11.1
435
#30
113.11.2
115.0113.8
Auto15.9
Teleop89.7
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed