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Red301
1793117.7
5724140.1
1080118.0
Blue407
1610170.0
422158.3
1522134.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173900100300500600301407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.12.1
132.4134.4
Auto17.2
Teleop105.5
End18.8
blue by 29.9
170.01.7
164.7166.4
Auto19.6
Teleop130.6
End20.5
Second
1080
#22
118.00.2
116.4116.6
Auto17.7
Teleop90.4
End10.4
blue by 40.3
422
#8
158.30.5
159.4158.9
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End12.8
Third
1793
#31
117.70.1
117.2117.1
Auto17.2
Teleop86.1
End17.5
blue by 16.7
1522
#12
134.41.5
131.2132.6
Auto16.9
Teleop103.4
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed