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Red293
6882149.6
2890127.2
1908103.1
Blue329
6194124.7
977126.4
53989.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313254100200400500293329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6882
#15
149.61.3
151.9150.6
Auto16.8
Teleop113.1
End20.2
red by 23.2
977
#17
126.41.2
119.2120.4
Auto16.2
Teleop98.5
End13.2
Second
2890
#11
127.22.4
121.2123.7
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End22.8
red by 2.5
124.70.6
123.4122.8
Auto17.9
Teleop90.7
End17.5
Third
1908
#33
103.10.2
103.2103.0
Auto15.5
Teleop81.0
End8.4
red by 13.7
539
#27
89.40.7
89.688.9
Auto13.6
Teleop72.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed