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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300230100200400500378152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#14
146.30.3
146.3146.0
Auto17.5
Teleop107.9
End19.3
red by 28.4
1080
#22
118.01.1
116.6117.6
Auto17.7
Teleop90.4
End10.4
Second
2068
#32
109.70.1
109.5109.7
Auto17.4
Teleop80.3
End8.6
red by 11.0
5954
#37
98.80.2
99.699.4
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End10.4
Third
2998
#18
94.10.4
94.794.3
Auto14.6
Teleop78.8
End-1.0
red by 4.6
4286
#35
89.51.1
92.090.9
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed