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Red308
6334155.1
61785.6
1793117.7
Blue232
5724140.1
3072147.9
1522134.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205391100300500600700800308232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.11.7
147.9149.6
Auto23.4
Teleop108.5
End26.9
red by 7.2
147.93.3
142.0145.3
Auto15.2
Teleop112.7
End24.6
Second
1793
#31
117.70.6
117.1117.7
Auto17.2
Teleop86.1
End17.5
blue by 22.4
140.12.4
134.4136.8
Auto17.2
Teleop105.5
End18.8
Third
617
#28
85.60.7
86.385.6
Auto13.3
Teleop71.3
End4.6
blue by 48.8
1522
#12
134.41.4
132.6134.0
Auto16.9
Teleop103.4
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed