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Red302
5950146.2
435113.1
1610170.0
Blue311
2068109.7
6194124.7
6334155.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542370100200300400500600302311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.01.9
147.1149.0
Auto19.6
Teleop130.6
End20.5
red by 14.8
155.11.0
139.7140.7
Auto23.4
Teleop108.5
End26.9
Second
5950
#24
146.20.6
139.4139.9
Auto18.4
Teleop101.3
End26.6
red by 21.5
124.712.9
84.297.0
Auto17.9
Teleop90.7
End17.5
Third
435
#30
113.10.1
125.3125.4
Auto15.9
Teleop89.7
End9.5
red by 3.3
2068
#32
109.70.5
100.3100.8
Auto17.4
Teleop80.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed