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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193000100400500600700194246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#10
123.01.4
104.6106.0
Auto13.9
Teleop89.9
End24.1
blue by 23.3
5804
#14
146.30.5
141.6142.0
Auto17.5
Teleop107.9
End19.3
Second
2998
#18
94.11.2
103.0101.8
Auto14.6
Teleop78.8
End-1.0
blue by 33.1
2890
#11
127.28.8
85.894.6
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End22.8
Third
539
#27
89.410.4
80.490.8
Auto13.6
Teleop72.4
End4.1
blue by 6.7
7330
#36
96.18.3
77.786.0
Auto14.8
Teleop77.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed