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Red380
2106148.5
623170.6
1629208.3
Blue240
5546181.2
122147.1
1599176.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38234005001,0001,5002,000380240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
208.30.0
208.3208.3
Auto25.5
Teleop159.2
End21.9
red by 27.1
5546
#14
181.20.0
181.2181.2
Auto19.1
Teleop134.5
End27.5
Second
623
#7
170.60.0
170.6170.6
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
blue by 5.7
176.30.0
176.3176.3
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
Third
2106
#20
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End17.4
red by 1.4
122
#17
147.10.0
147.1147.1
Auto16.2
Teleop119.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds96%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss odds50%Face the Boss odds