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Red194
3136134.5
335998.7
836158.7
Blue276
5724141.1
2028141.5
1522136.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613570100200300400500600700800194276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#3
158.70.0
158.7158.7
Auto20.4
Teleop122.5
End14.1
red by 17.2
2028
#16
141.50.0
141.5141.5
Auto16.6
Teleop105.8
End19.7
Second
3136
#30
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.7
Teleop92.8
End21.8
blue by 6.6
5724
#24
141.10.0
141.1141.1
Auto16.8
Teleop106.4
End16.7
Third
3359
#19
98.70.0
98.798.7
Auto17.0
Teleop72.7
End9.1
blue by 37.5
1522
#12
136.20.0
136.2136.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.1
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest odds28%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds19%Face the Boss odds